Idaho @ Utah, Week 1 · 2026

IDHO@#21

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
IdahoIDHO

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Utah opens a 35.5-point favorite. Our model gives Utah a 99% chance.

SeriesUtah leads 14–12–2 · Idaho won the last meeting, 28–17 · 1993

WIN PROBABILITY
UTAH 99% IDHO 1%
PROJECTED FINAL
Idaho
11
UTAH win
99%
One-score game
3%
Cover UTAH −35.5
53%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UTAH
Market lean UTAH
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Idaho @ Utah

Your sims:Sims: UTAH 0, IDHO 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Utah99%
  2. Idaho2%
CFB Vibes ModelUTAH 99%MarketUTAH 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $200,654 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADIDHO +35.5UTAH −35.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINEIDHO +5000UTAH −100000

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Idaho vs Utah Stats ComparisonIdaho vs Utah Stats Comparison

2025 stats
IdahoIDHOUtahUTAH
PPG41.3#4
PA/G18.9#17
YDS/G483.2#4
3RD DOWN52.9%#2

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Rice-Eccles Stadium
LocationSalt Lake City, UT
Capacity51,444
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation4,631 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 94% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win