Texas State @ Oregon State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TXST
Home-field edge ORST
Model projection ORST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Texas State @ Oregon State
Your sims:Sims: ORST 0, TXST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Oregon State vs Texas State Stats ComparisonOregon State vs Texas State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oregon StateORST | Texas StateTXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2#125 | PPG | 36.5#12 |
| 29.4#98 | PA/G | 29#95 |
| 352.7#95 | YDS/G | 473.5#5 |
| 225.4#66 | PASS/G | 250.8#43 |
| 127.2#103 | RUSH/G | 222.7#10 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 35.9%#102 | 3RD DOWN | 46.0%#23 |
| 0.06#120 | OFF PPA | 0.31#10 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.16#71 |
| 42.4%#67 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 38.8%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1%#61 |
| 57.9% | RET PROD | 76.0% |
| 1.07#135 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.35#18 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
| -5.6 | SP+ | -2.1 |
| -8.1#98 | FPI | -4.3#84 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Reser StadiumLocationCorvallis, OR
Capacity43,363
SurfaceTurf
Opened1953
Elevation220 ft
FAN NEWS
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