Texas State @ Oregon State, Week 10 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TXST
Home-field edge ORST
Model projection ORST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Texas State @ Oregon State
Your sims:Sims: TXST 0, ORST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Oregon State
Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)
Lat Washington State32–8Lat Tulsa31–14Lvs Sam Houston21–17Oregon State2025: 2–10 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Texas State vs Oregon State Stats ComparisonTexas State vs Oregon State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Texas StateTXST | Oregon StateORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5#12 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 29#95 | PA/G | 29.4#98 |
| 473.5#5 | YDS/G | 352.7#95 |
| 250.8#43 | PASS/G | 225.4#66 |
| 222.7#10 | RUSH/G | 127.2#103 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 46.0%#23 | 3RD DOWN | 35.9%#102 |
| 0.31#10 | OFF PPA | 0.06#120 |
| 0.16#71 | DEF PPA | 0.18#87 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.4%#67 |
| 41.1%#61 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 76.0% | RET PROD | 57.9% |
| 1.35#18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07#135 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -2.1 | SP+ | -5.6 |
| -4.3#84 | FPI | -8.1#98 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Reser StadiumLocationCorvallis, OR
Capacity43,363
SurfaceTurf
Opened1953
Elevation220 ft
FAN NEWS
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