Texas @ Tennessee, Week 4 · 2026
#5
@#20
@#20GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·TennesseeTENN0–0·SEC
TENN radioVol Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Tennessee opens a 6.5-point underdog. Our model gives Tennessee a 34% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 2–1 · Texas won the last meeting, 36–13 · 1968
What's driving the model
Home-field edge TENN
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Texas @ Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: TENN 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTENN +6.5TEX −6.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
MONEYLINETENN +215TEX −265
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Tennessee vs Texas Stats ComparisonTennessee vs Texas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TennesseeTENN | TexasTEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.8#6 | PPG | 30.5#41 |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | 20.3#28 |
| 469#7 | YDS/G | 388.7#69 |
| 292.8#6 | PASS/G | 250.7#44 |
| 176.2#47 | RUSH/G | 138#90 |
| 6.6#18 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 50.3%#9 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#75 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.32#8 | OFF PPA | 0.18#57 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.10#40 |
| 50.4%#4 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5%#93 |
| 44.6%#110 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.2%#43 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.25#59 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#13 |
| 17.3 | SP+ | 22.8 |
| 15.1#16 | FPI | 26.9#2 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Neyland StadiumLocationKnoxville, TN
Capacity102,455
SurfaceGrass
Opened1921
Elevation892 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
