Toledo @ Ohio, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·OHIO radioOhio Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ohio a 53% chance.
SeriesToledo leads 30–13–1 · Ohio won the last meeting, 24–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TOL
Home-field edge OHIO
Model projection OHIO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Toledo @ Ohio
Your sims:Sims: OHIO 0, TOL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ohio vs Toledo Stats ComparisonOhio vs Toledo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| OhioOHIO | ToledoTOL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8#66 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 21.9#42 | PA/G | 13.3#4 |
| 412.3#35 | YDS/G | 415.8#34 |
| 184.2#109 | PASS/G | 238.1#57 |
| 228.2#9 | RUSH/G | 177.7#41 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 42.4%#42 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#64 |
| 0.21#39 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.6%#43 |
| 41.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.1%#4 |
| 62.5% | RET PROD | 66.3% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#87 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.13#57 | DEF PPA | -0.08#1 |
| -11.8 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -8.0#97 | FPI | -3.0#79 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Peden StadiumLocationAthens, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation637 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
