GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Weber State a 58% chance.
SeriesWeber State leads 7–4 since 2004 · UC Davis won the last meeting, 34–12 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UCD
Home-field edge WEB
Model projection WEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UC Davis @ Weber State
Your sims:Sims: WEB 0, UCD 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UC Davis vs Weber State Stats ComparisonUC Davis vs Weber State Stats Comparison
| UC DavisUCD | Weber StateWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | PPG | 35.9 |
| 31 | PA/G | 34.6 |
| 441.9 | YDS/G | 427.7 |
| 275 | PASS/G | 243.9 |
| 166.9 | RUSH/G | 183.8 |
| 6.6 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 37.7% | 3RD DOWN | 41.2% |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | 0.10 |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 44.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 42.7% |
| 42.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.8% |
| 1.35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −9 |
| -32.0 | SRS | -32.5 |
THE VENUE
Stewart StadiumLocationOgden, UT
Capacity17,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,762 ft
FAN NEWS
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