UNLV @ San José State, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San José State a 18% chance.
SeriesSan José State leads 20–8–1 · UNLV won the last meeting, 27–16 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ San José State
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San José State vs UNLV Stats ComparisonSJSU vs UNLV Stats Comparison
| San José StateSJSU | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | PPG | 21 |
| 42 | PA/G | 27 |
| 336 | YDS/G | 460 |
| 234 | PASS/G | 291 |
| 102 | RUSH/G | 169 |
| 6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8 |
| 45.5% | 3RD DOWN | 20.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.09 |
| 0.39 | DEF PPA | 0.29 |
| 43.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| 66.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 47.5% |
| 3.8% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.46 |
| -15.7 | SP+ | 3.6 |
| -14.3#124 | FPI | 1.8#58 |
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
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