UT Martin @ Tennessee State, Week 6 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·StreamingESPN+
UTM radioSkyhawk Sports Network / WCMT
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UT Martin a 64% chance.
SeriesUT Martin leads 13–7 · UT Martin won the last meeting, 26–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UTM
Home-field edge TNST
Model projection UTM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UT Martin @ Tennessee State
Your sims:Sims: UTM 0, TNST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UT Martin vs Tennessee State Stats ComparisonUT Martin vs TNST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| UT MartinUTM | Tennessee StateTNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 13.5 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 44.5 |
| 391.5 | YDS/G | 231.5 |
| 204 | PASS/G | 182 |
| 187.5 | RUSH/G | 49.5 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 3.5 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.51 |
| 46.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 37.0% |
| 34.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 56.8% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Nissan StadiumLocationNashville, TN
Capacity69,143
SurfaceTurf
Opened1999
Elevation397 ft
FAN NEWS
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