UTEP @ Air Force, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Air Force a 89% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 14–1 · Air Force won the last meeting, 56–46 · 1995
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UTEP @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: AF 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Air Force vs UTEP Stats ComparisonAir Force vs UTEP Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Air ForceAF | UTEPUTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8#48 | PPG | 23.3#99 |
| 30.3#109 | PA/G | 30.4#110 |
| 406.7#46 | YDS/G | 331.8#113 |
| 145.2#128 | PASS/G | 216.2#84 |
| 261.5#3 | RUSH/G | 115.6#117 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 51.0%#7 | 3RD DOWN | 30.3%#133 |
| 0.29#20 | OFF PPA | 0.01#131 |
| 0.40#136 | DEF PPA | 0.10#43 |
| 47.6%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | 32.8%#135 |
| 49.4%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9%#41 |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.45#4 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 57.4% | RET PROD | -1.1% |
| -3.2 | SP+ | -19.3 |
| -6.8#93 | FPI | -16.6#132 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
