UTEP @ Air Force, Week 12 · 2026
@
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·Air ForceAF0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTEP a 11% chance.
SeriesAir Force leads 14–1 · Air Force won the last meeting, 56–46 · 1995
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) AF
Home-field edge AF
Model projection AF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UTEP @ Air Force
Your sims:Sims: UTEP 0, AF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UTEP vs Air Force Stats ComparisonUTEP vs Air Force Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UTEPUTEP | Air ForceAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3#99 | PPG | 29.8#48 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 30.3#109 |
| 331.8#113 | YDS/G | 406.7#46 |
| 216.2#84 | PASS/G | 145.2#128 |
| 115.6#117 | RUSH/G | 261.5#3 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 30.3%#133 | 3RD DOWN | 51.0%#7 |
| 0.01#131 | OFF PPA | 0.29#20 |
| 0.10#43 | DEF PPA | 0.40#136 |
| 32.8%#135 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#14 |
| 38.9%#41 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#134 |
| 1.45#4 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#98 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| -1.1% | RET PROD | 57.4% |
| -19.3 | SP+ | -3.2 |
| -16.6#132 | FPI | -6.8#93 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Falcon StadiumLocationColorado Springs, CO
Capacity46,692
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation6,643 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UTEP?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
