GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Villanova a 62% chance.
SeriesVillanova leads 2–0 since 2016 · Villanova won the last meeting, 59–0 · 2017
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) VILL
Home-field edge LAF
Model projection VILL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Villanova @ Lafayette
Your sims:Sims: LAF 0, VILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelVILL 62%MarketVILL 53%
Market 9 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $8 traded · as of Oct 24, 10:20 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Villanova vs Lafayette Stats ComparisonVillanova vs Lafayette Stats Comparison
| VillanovaVILL | LafayetteLAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | PPG | 23.7 |
| 28.4 | PA/G | 29.6 |
| 364 | YDS/G | 321.1 |
| 222.9 | PASS/G | 180 |
| 141.1 | RUSH/G | 141.1 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1 |
| 40.2% | 3RD DOWN | 33.7% |
| 0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.03 |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 43.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.6% |
| 44.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.6% |
| 1.30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33 |
| −4 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| -38.0 | SRS | -47.0 |
THE VENUE
Fisher FieldLocationEaston, PA
Capacity13,132
SurfaceTurf
Opened1926
Elevation267 ft
FAN NEWS
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