GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDWAG radioWagner Seahawks Radio
MERC radioMercyhurst Athletics Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mercyhurst a 55% chance.
SeriesMercyhurst leads 1–0 since 2025 · Mercyhurst won the last meeting, 19–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) WAG
Home-field edge MERC
Model projection MERC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wagner @ Mercyhurst
Your sims:Sims: MERC 0, WAG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Mercyhurst
Lat Robert Morris28–14Lvs Central Connecticut43–40Lat Long Island University27–24
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Wagner vs Mercyhurst Stats ComparisonWagner vs Mercyhurst Stats Comparison
| WagnerWAG | MercyhurstMERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.1 | PPG | 20.6 |
| 38.8 | PA/G | 41.8 |
| 264.4 | YDS/G | 302.4 |
| 186 | PASS/G | 226.2 |
| 78.4 | RUSH/G | 76.1 |
| 4.1 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9 |
| 26.5% | 3RD DOWN | 38.0% |
| 0.23 | DEF PPA | 0.17 |
| 31.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.5% |
| 44.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.3% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.50 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −11 |
| -0.13 | OFF PPA | -0.12 |
| -50.4 | SRS | -52.1 |
THE VENUE
Saxon StadiumLocationErie, PA
Capacity2,300
Elevation650 ft
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