Consensus spread, total and line movement for seven priced Texas games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #2 in the SEC championship market at 21% and #3 in the national market at 12%.
SEC CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Georgia | 28% | |
| 2 |  Texas | down 1 today21% | |
| 3 |  LSU | 10% | |
| 4 |  Alabama | up 1 today9% | |
| 5 |  Texas A&M | 8% | |
| 6 |  Oklahoma | 7% | |
| 7 |  Ole Miss | 6% | |
| 8 |  Florida | 3% | |
| 9 |  Tennessee | 3% | |
| 10 |  Auburn | 2% | |
| 11 |  Missouri | 2% | |
| 12 |  South Carolina | 2% | |
| 13 |  Arkansas | 1% | |
| 14 |  Kentucky | 1% | |
| 15 |  Mississippi State | 1% | |
| 16 |  Vanderbilt | 1% |
NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Notre Dame | 13% | |
| 2 |  Ohio State | 13% | |
| 3 | Texas | 12% | |
| 4 |  Oregon | 11% | |
| 5 | Georgia | 10% | |
| 6 |  Indiana | 10% | |
| 7 |  Miami | 8% | |
| 8 | LSU | 6% | |
| 9 | Alabama | 4% | |
| 10 |  Texas Tech | 4% | |
| 11 |  Michigan | 3% | |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 3% | |
| 13 | Ole Miss | 3% | |
| 14 | Texas A&M | 3% | |
| 15 | Florida | 2% | |
| 16 |  Penn State | 2% |
HEISMAN TROPHY
| # | PLAYER | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJ Carr | 12% | |
| 2 | Arch Manning | 10% | |
| 3 | Darian Mensah | down 1 today9% | |
| 4 | Dante Moore | down 1 today8% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Smith | up 1 today7% | |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 7% | |
| 7 | Trinidad Chambliss | down 1 today7% | |
| 8 | Josh Hoover | 5% | |
| 9 |  Jayden Maiava | 4% | |
| 10 | John Mateer | 4% | |
| 11 | Keelon Russell | 4% | |
| 12 | Marcel Reed | 4% | |
| 13 | Sam Leavitt | 4% | |
| 14 | Gunner Stockton | 3% | |
| 15 | LaNorris Sellers | 3% | |
| 16 |  Bear Bachmeier | 2% | |
| 17 | Bryce Underwood | 2% | |
| 18 | Byrum Brown | 2% | |
| 19 |  Demond Williams Jr. | 2% | |
| 20 |  Drew Mestemaker | 2% | |
| 21 |  Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 2% | |
| 22 |  Kevin Jennings | 2% | |
| 23 | Malachi Toney | 2% | |
| 24 | Rocco Becht | 2% | |
| 25 | Will Hammond | 2% | |
| 26 | Ahmad Hardy | 1% | |
| 27 | Austin Mack | 1% | |
| 28 | Bo Jackson | 1% | |
| 31 | Colin Simmons | 1% |
COACH OF THE YEAR
| # | COACH | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcus Freeman | down 3 today19% | |
| 2 | Curt Cignetti | down 1 today10% | |
| 3 | Brent Venables | up 4 today7% | |
| 4 | Steve Sarkisian | down 1 today7% | |
| 5 | Dan Lanning | 6% | |
| 6 | Mario Cristobal | 6% | |
| 7 |  James Franklin | up 1 today5% | |
| 8 | Lane Kiffin | 5% | |
| 9 | Matt Campbell | 5% | |
| 10 | Mike Elko | down 1 today5% | |
| 11 |  Bob Chesney | 4% | |
| 12 | Kirby Smart | 4% | |
| 13 | Lincoln Riley | 4% | |
| 14 | Pete Golding | 4% | |
| 15 | Ryan Day | 4% | |
| 16 | Joey McGuire | 3% | |
| 17 | Kalen DeBoer | down 1 today3% | |
| 18 | Kyle Whittingham | 3% | |
| 19 |  Bill Belichick | 2% | |
| 20 |  Deion Sanders | 2% | |
| 21 | Jon Sumrall | 2% | |
| 22 | Josh Heupel | 2% | |
| 23 |  Matt Rhule | 2% | |
| 24 | Clark Lea | 1% | |
| 25 |  Jerry Mack | 1% | |
| 26 |  Jim Mora | 1% | |
| 27 | Kalani Sitake | down 2 today1% | |
| 28 | Tie/Co-Winners | 1% | |
| 29 |  Tony Elliott | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 9+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 9 (25%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
TEXAS 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 12–0
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State@Texas | 4%96% | +29.5−29.5 | 1 ▼ | 59.5 | |
| Ohio State@Texas | 46%54% | +1.5−1.5 | – | 47.5 | |
 UTSA@Texas | 5%95% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Texas@Tennessee | 67%33% | −6.5+6.5 | – | 56.5 | |
| TexasvsOklahoma | 65%35% | −6+6 | – | 48.5 | |
| Florida@Texas | TBD | 23%77% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Ole Miss@Texas | TBD | 29%71% | +8.5−8.5 | – | 54.5 |
| Mississippi State@Texas | TBD | 9%91% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Texas@Missouri | TBD | 59%41% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Texas@LSU | TBD | 57%43% | −2.5+2.5 | – | 54.5 |
| Arkansas@Texas | TBD | 10%90% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Texas@Texas A&M | 57%43% | −2.5+2.5 | – | 53.5 |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for Texas. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →