Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Missouri: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

SEC · Week 1

UAPB @ MIZThu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM CDTSEC Network UTEP @ OUFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM CDT KENT @ SCSat, Sep 5 · 12:45 PM EDTSEC Network YSU @ UKSat, Sep 5 · 1:00 PM EDT TNST @ UGASat, Sep 5 · 3:00 PM EDT BAY vs AUBSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTABC FUR @ TENNSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDT TXST @ TEXSat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDTESPN UNA @ ARKSat, Sep 5 · 3:15 PM CDTSEC Network MOST @ TA&MSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDTESPN APSU @ VANSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ULM @ MSSTSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTESPNU CLEM @ LSUSat, Sep 5 · 6:30 PM CDTABC FAU @ FLASat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network LOU vs MISSSun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDTABC

All scores

UAPB@#25

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Thu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM CDT7:00 PM CDT

Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB–

MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC

TVSEC Network

StreamingESPN App

MIZ radioMizzou Sports Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Missouri opens a 54.5-point favorite. Our model gives Missouri a 99% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

MIZ 99% UAPB 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

Missouri

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MIZ win
99% One-score game
4% Cover MIZ −54.5
13%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge MIZ

Market lean MIZ

Model projection MIZ

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Missouri

Your sims:Sims: MIZ 0, UAPB 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Arkansas-Pine Bluff2025: 0–1

Lat Texas Tech67–7

Missouri

2025: 8–5 (4–4 SEC)

Lvs Virginia13–7 Wat Arkansas31–17 Lat Oklahoma17–6

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Missouri99%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff1%

CFB Vibes ModelMIZ 99%MarketMIZ 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $171,855 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADUAPB +54.5MIZ −54.5

TOTALOver 60.5Under 60.5

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Missouri Stats ComparisonUAPB vs Missouri Stats Comparison

2025 stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB		MissouriMIZ
–	PPG	30.2#44
–	PA/G	18.9#17
–	YDS/G	416.8#31
–	PASS/G	188.4#104
–	RUSH/G	228.5#8
–	YDS/PLAY	5.9#46
–	3RD DOWN	44.9%#29
–	TO MARGIN	−5#103
–	OFF PPA	0.21#35
–	DEF PPA	0.03#10
–	OFF SUCCESS	45.4%#34
–	DEF SUCCESS	34.9%#7
–	RET PROD	42.0%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.22#75
–	SP+	15.4
–	FPI	12.2#21

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Memorial Stadium

LocationColumbia, MO

Capacity71,168

SurfaceTurf

Opened1927

Elevation698 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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