Florida Atlantic @ North Texas, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·FAU radioOwl Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida Atlantic a 53% chance.
SeriesFlorida Atlantic leads 8–7 · North Texas won the last meeting, 41–37 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FAU
Home-field edge UNT
Model projection FAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas
Your sims:Sims: FAU 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida Atlantic vs North Texas Stats ComparisonFAU vs North Texas Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida AtlanticFAU | North TexasUNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#49 | PPG | 45.1#1 |
| 36.3#131 | PA/G | 26.5#76 |
| 445.7#22 | YDS/G | 511.4#1 |
| 340.5#1 | PASS/G | 317.3#2 |
| 105.2#123 | RUSH/G | 194.1#25 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2#3 |
| 36.8%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 45.9%#24 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.35#2 |
| 0.22#113 | DEF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 40.3%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.6%#2 |
| 43.7%#99 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#77 |
| 68.4% | RET PROD | 2.5% |
| 1.40#7 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#33 |
| −21#136 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
| -6.1 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| -11.3#115 | FPI | -6.4#90 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
DATCU StadiumLocationDenton, TX
Capacity30,850
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation652 ft
FAN NEWS
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