Florida Atlantic @ North Texas, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·UNT radioMean Green Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Texas a 47% chance.
SeriesFlorida Atlantic leads 8–7 · North Texas won the last meeting, 41–37 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FAU
Home-field edge UNT
Model projection FAU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida Atlantic @ North Texas
Your sims:Sims: UNT 0, FAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)
Lvs East Carolina42–3Lvs UConn48–45Lat Tulane35–24Florida Atlantic2025: 4–8 (3–5 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Texas vs Florida Atlantic Stats ComparisonNorth Texas vs FAU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North TexasUNT | Florida AtlanticFAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1#1 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 36.3#131 |
| 511.4#1 | YDS/G | 445.7#22 |
| 317.3#2 | PASS/G | 340.5#1 |
| 194.1#25 | RUSH/G | 105.2#123 |
| 7.2#3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 45.9%#24 | 3RD DOWN | 36.8%#96 |
| 0.35#2 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.16#74 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 51.6%#2 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 2.5% | RET PROD | 68.4% |
| 1.31#33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −21#136 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| -6.4#90 | FPI | -11.3#115 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
DATCU StadiumLocationDenton, TX
Capacity30,850
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation652 ft
FAN NEWS
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