Florida International @ Liberty, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Liberty a 78% chance.
SeriesLiberty leads 3–1 · Florida International won the last meeting, 34–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LIB
Home-field edge LIB
Model projection LIB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida International @ Liberty
Your sims:Sims: LIB 0, FIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Liberty
Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)
Lvs Kennesaw State48–42 (OT)Lat Louisiana Tech34–28 (OT)Lat Florida International34–27 (OT)Liberty2025: 4–8 (3–5 CUSA)Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Liberty vs Florida International Stats ComparisonLiberty vs FIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LibertyLIB | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6#83 | PPG | 28.5#61 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 30#105 |
| 388.5#70 | YDS/G | 397#59 |
| 195.5#101 | PASS/G | 215.4#87 |
| 193#26 | RUSH/G | 181.6#36 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 40.1%#65 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.16#78 |
| 0.20#105 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 43.5%#51 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 41.5%#68 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| 1.21#92 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#35 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -5.3 | SP+ | -14.5 |
| -7.7#96 | FPI | -12.6#119 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Williams Stadium (VA)LocationLynchburg, VA
Capacity25,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1989
Elevation895 ft
FAN NEWS
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