Florida State @ Pittsburgh, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida State a 47% chance.
SeriesPittsburgh leads 7–5 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge PITT
Model projection PITT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida State @ Pittsburgh
Your sims:Sims: FSU 0, PITT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida State vs Pittsburgh Stats ComparisonFSU vs Pittsburgh Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Florida StateFSU | PittsburghPITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 33#22 | PPG | 33.7#20 |
| 22#43 | PA/G | 24.8#68 |
| 472.2#6 | YDS/G | 391.2#67 |
| 253.4#40 | PASS/G | 273.5#20 |
| 218.8#11 | RUSH/G | 117.7#116 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 50.6%#8 | 3RD DOWN | 33.3%#120 |
| 0.30#14 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 0.15#63 | DEF PPA | 0.07#27 |
| 47.2%#17 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.6%#11 |
| 40.1% | RET PROD | 39.7% |
| 1.36#16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#19 |
| 9.1 | SP+ | 6.2 |
| 9.3#28 | FPI | 6.6#36 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Acrisure StadiumLocationPittsburgh, PA
Capacity68,400
SurfaceGrass
Opened2001
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
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