Florida State @ Pittsburgh, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Pittsburgh a 53% chance.
SeriesPittsburgh leads 7–5 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FSU
Home-field edge PITT
Model projection PITT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida State @ Pittsburgh
Your sims:Sims: PITT 0, FSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Florida State
Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs New Mexico State34–17Florida State2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Pittsburgh vs Florida State Stats ComparisonPittsburgh vs FSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| PittsburghPITT | Florida StateFSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7#20 | PPG | 33#22 |
| 24.8#68 | PA/G | 22#43 |
| 391.2#67 | YDS/G | 472.2#6 |
| 273.5#20 | PASS/G | 253.4#40 |
| 117.7#116 | RUSH/G | 218.8#11 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 33.3%#120 | 3RD DOWN | 50.6%#8 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.30#14 |
| 0.07#27 | DEF PPA | 0.15#63 |
| 40.3%#98 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.2%#17 |
| 35.6%#11 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 39.7% | RET PROD | 40.1% |
| 1.34#19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#16 |
| 6.2 | SP+ | 9.1 |
| 6.6#36 | FPI | 9.3#28 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Acrisure StadiumLocationPittsburgh, PA
Capacity68,400
SurfaceGrass
Opened2001
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
