Florida vs Georgia, Week 9 · 2026
VS#3
GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·FloridaFLA0–0·SEC
GeorgiaUGA0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Georgia opens a 12.5-point favorite in Atlanta. Our model gives Georgia a 78% chance.
SeriesGeorgia leads 58–44–2 · Georgia won the last meeting, 24–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Neutral site EVEN
Market lean UGA
Model projection UGA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Florida vs Georgia
Your sims:Sims: UGA 0, FLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUGA −12.5FLA +12.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEUGA −550FLA +410
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Georgia vs Florida Stats ComparisonGeorgia vs Florida Stats Comparison
2025 stats| GeorgiaUGA | FloridaFLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1#28 | PPG | 21.6#111 |
| 17.6#10 | PA/G | 24#60 |
| 402.6#52 | YDS/G | 341.3#104 |
| 220.2#77 | PASS/G | 204.6#93 |
| 182.4#35 | RUSH/G | 136.8#91 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 43.4%#35 | 3RD DOWN | 34.4%#113 |
| 0.24#24 | OFF PPA | 0.14#87 |
| 0.09#37 | DEF PPA | 0.17#81 |
| 47.1%#18 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.9%#62 |
| 38.7%#37 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#91 |
| 68.7% | RET PROD | 69.1% |
| 1.15#123 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10#133 |
| 26.4 | SP+ | 15.2 |
| 24.8#5 | FPI | 13.6#18 |
| +0#72 | TO MARGIN | −1#77 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mercedes-Benz StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity75,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,010 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Georgia?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 9 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
