Houston Christian @ North Texas, Week 4 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 4 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Houston Christian a 14% chance.
SeriesNorth Texas leads 1–0 · North Texas won the last meeting, 57–31 · 2020
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNT
Home-field edge UNT
Model projection UNT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Houston Christian @ North Texas
Your sims:Sims: HCU 0, UNT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
North Texas
Lat Indiana52–16
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Houston Christian vs North Texas Stats ComparisonHCU vs North Texas Stats Comparison
| Houston ChristianHCU | North TexasUNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | PPG | 16 |
| 29.5 | PA/G | 52 |
| 302.5 | YDS/G | 367 |
| 148 | PASS/G | 215 |
| 154.5 | RUSH/G | 152 |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 44.4% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.14 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.65 |
| 32.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 34.8% |
| 47.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 52.2% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.55 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| – | RET PROD | 2.5% |
| – | ELO | 1590 |
| – | SP+ | -13.2 |
| – | FPI | -6.7#93 |
THE VENUE
DATCU StadiumLocationDenton, TX
Capacity30,850
SurfaceTurf
Opened2011
Elevation652 ft
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