Illinois State at Northern Illinois: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

MVFC · Week 3

SIU @ ILLSat, Sep 19 · 1:00 PM CDT UNI @ IOWASat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CDTFS1 MUR @ OKSTSat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CDT UND @ NEBSat, Sep 19 · 6:15 PM CDTBTN SDAK @ BOISSat, Sep 19 · 8:00 PM MDTCBSSN

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM CDT6:00 PM CDT

Illinois StateILST–

Northern IllinoisNIU0–1·MWC

StreamingMW+

ILST radioXfinity Mobile Redbird Sports Network

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Illinois State opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Illinois State a 61% chance.

SeriesNorthern Illinois leads 10–4 · Northern Illinois won the last meeting, 24–10 · 2019

WIN PROBABILITY

ILST 61% NIU 39%

PROJECTED FINAL

Illinois State

Northern Illinois

ILST win
61% One-score game
39%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge NIU

Market lean ILST

Model projection ILST

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Illinois St @ Northern Illinois

Your sims:Sims: ILST 0, NIU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Northern Illinois

2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)

Lat Iowa40–0

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADILST −4.5NIU +4.5

TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5

MONEYLINEILST −175NIU +145

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Illinois State vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonILST vs NIU Stats Comparison

Illinois StateILST		Northern IllinoisNIU
5	PA/G	40
248	YDS/G	120
128.5	PASS/G	113
119.5	RUSH/G	7
6	YDS/PLAY	2.2
68.8%	3RD DOWN	20.0%
0.04	DEF PPA	0.06
47.0%	OFF SUCCESS	17.2%
35.4%	DEF SUCCESS	41.8%
1.37	EXPLOSIVE	1.37
58.5	PPG	0
+0	TO MARGIN	−1
0.34	OFF PPA	-0.33
–	RET PROD	43.7%
–	ELO	1266
–	SP+	-22.3
–	FPI	-17.7#133

THE VENUE

Huskie Stadium

LocationDeKalb, IL

Capacity23,595

SurfaceTurf

Opened1965

Elevation877 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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