Northern Iowa @ Iowa, Week 3 · 2026

@#21

GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Iowa a 98% chance.

SeriesIowa leads 17–0 · Iowa won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2018

WIN PROBABILITY
IOWA 98% UNI 2%
PROJECTED FINAL
IOWA win
98%
One-score game
6%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge IOWA
Model projection IOWA
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Iowa @ Iowa

Your sims:Sims: IOWA 0, UNI 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Iowa97%
  2. Northern Iowa3%
CFB Vibes ModelIOWA 98%MarketIOWA 97%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $12,668 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Northern Iowa vs Iowa Stats ComparisonUNI vs Iowa Stats Comparison

Northern IowaUNIIowaIOWA
24PPG40
350YDS/G507
50.0%3RD DOWN42.9%
34PA/G0
ELO1847

THE VENUE

Kinnick Stadium
LocationIowa City, IA
Capacity69,250
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation724 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#8@#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
#22@#13
CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
#17@#24
CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
#2@
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 90% to win
75Games in Week 3Full schedule →