Kansas State @ TCU, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDTCU radioHorned Frogs Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives TCU a 60% chance.
SeriesKansas State leads 11–8 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 41–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TCU
Home-field edge TCU
Model projection TCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas State @ TCU
Your sims:Sims: TCU 0, KSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3TCU
TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)
Lvs North Carolina15–10TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
TCU vs Kansas State Stats ComparisonTCU vs Kansas State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TCUTCU | Kansas StateKSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7#40 | PPG | 29.4#52 |
| 25.3#72 | PA/G | 26.7#79 |
| 421.8#27 | YDS/G | 370.6#83 |
| 290.1#9 | PASS/G | 198.3#97 |
| 131.8#99 | RUSH/G | 172.2#53 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 47.4%#14 | 3RD DOWN | 36.9%#94 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +11#8 |
| 0.20#48 | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| 0.14#59 | DEF PPA | 0.12#56 |
| 44.5%#44 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.4%#45 |
| 22.4% | RET PROD | 71.4% |
| 1.26#50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.41#6 |
| 9.4 | SP+ | 9.2 |
| 6.4#38 | FPI | 5.1#41 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Amon G. Carter StadiumLocationFort Worth, TX
Capacity46,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation608 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
