Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kennesaw State a 72% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Kennesaw State won the last meeting, 24–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KENN
Home-field edge MTSU
Model projection KENN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kennesaw St @ Middle Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: KENN 0, MTSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State2025: 10–4 (7–1 CUSA)
Lvs Western Michigan41–6Wat Jacksonville State19–15Wat Liberty48–42 (OT)Kennesaw State2025: 10–4 (7–1 CUSA)Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)
Wat New Mexico State31–24 (OT)Wvs Sam Houston31–17Lat Western Kentucky42–26Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee Stats ComparisonKENN vs MTSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kennesaw StateKENN | Middle TennesseeMTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7#75 | PPG | 22.4#107 |
| 25.5#73 | PA/G | 30.9#115 |
| 403.1#51 | YDS/G | 371#82 |
| 243.1#53 | PASS/G | 264.9#28 |
| 160.1#66 | RUSH/G | 106.1#121 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 40.0%#67 | 3RD DOWN | 37.1%#93 |
| 0.15#79 | OFF PPA | 0.14#85 |
| 0.17#77 | DEF PPA | 0.21#111 |
| 41.1%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.2%#70 |
| 42.3%#80 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.1%#104 |
| 6.1% | RET PROD | 32.5% |
| 1.33#23 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#78 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -12.9 | SP+ | -26.5 |
| -9.0#106 | FPI | -16.1#130 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Johnny "Red" Floyd StadiumLocationMurfreesboro, TN
Capacity30,788
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation629 ft
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