Kent State @ Bowling Green, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·KENT radioFlashes Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kent State a 24% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 47–16 · Kent State won the last meeting, 24–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BGSU
Home-field edge BGSU
Model projection BGSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kent State @ Bowling Green
Your sims:Sims: KENT 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Kent State
Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)
Wat Northern Illinois35–31Lvs Central Michigan28–16Wat Akron42–35 (OT)Kent State2025: 5–7 (4–4 MAC)Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kent State vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonKent State vs BGSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Kent StateKENT | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2#115 | PPG | 20.5#117 |
| 33.6#128 | PA/G | 24.2#63 |
| 295.4#128 | YDS/G | 306.8#125 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 151.2#126 |
| 98.3#130 | RUSH/G | 155.5#71 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 27.6%#135 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#98 |
| 0.07#118 | OFF PPA | 0.03#129 |
| 0.20#103 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9%#127 |
| 44.3%#108 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#68 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 64.1% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -22.4 | SP+ | -15.0 |
| -17.9#135 | FPI | -13.7#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doyt L. Perry StadiumLocationBowling Green, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation676 ft
FAN NEWS
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