Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDUSA radioJaguar Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Alabama a 46% chance.
SeriesLouisiana Tech leads 2–1 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 38–14 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LT
Home-field edge USA
Model projection LT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, LT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)
Wvs Coastal Carolina23–14Wat Missouri State42–30Wvs Liberty34–28 (OT)Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Alabama vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonUSA vs LT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South AlabamaUSA | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5#76 | PPG | 27.3#71 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 20.8#35 |
| 382.2#75 | YDS/G | 359.3#88 |
| 181.1#114 | PASS/G | 164.2#121 |
| 201.2#18 | RUSH/G | 195.2#24 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.14#86 |
| 0.24#120 | DEF PPA | 0.04#15 |
| 41.8%#76 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 43.3%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.1%#19 |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#72 |
| -14.6 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -10.5#112 | FPI | -9.6#108 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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