GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San Diego a 50% chance.
SeriesSan Diego leads 16–2 since 2003 · Marist won the last meeting, 19–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MRST
Home-field edge USD
Model projection MRST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Marist @ San Diego
Your sims:Sims: USD 0, MRST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMRST 50%MarketMRST 51%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 25, 12:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Marist vs San Diego Stats ComparisonMarist vs San Diego Stats Comparison
| MaristMRST | San DiegoUSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4 | PPG | 29 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 37.2 |
| 345.8 | YDS/G | 415.9 |
| 216.8 | PASS/G | 261.2 |
| 129 | RUSH/G | 154.6 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 39.6% | 3RD DOWN | 39.3% |
| 0.05 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| 0.02 | DEF PPA | 0.25 |
| 42.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3% |
| 39.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.7% |
| 1.26 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| -43.0 | SRS | -47.1 |
THE VENUE
Torero StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity6,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1961
Elevation190 ft
FAN NEWS
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