GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·USD radioTorero Radio Network
DAY radioFlyer Radio Network / WHIO
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Dayton a 52% chance.
SeriesSan Diego leads 12–6 · San Diego won the last meeting, 31–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) USD
Home-field edge DAY
Model projection DAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San Diego @ Dayton
Your sims:Sims: DAY 0, USD 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San Diego vs Dayton Stats ComparisonSan Diego vs Dayton Stats Comparison
2026 stats| San DiegoUSD | DaytonDAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | 43 |
| 49 | PA/G | 20 |
| 328 | YDS/G | 437 |
| 182 | PASS/G | 186 |
| 146 | RUSH/G | 251 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 23.1% | 3RD DOWN | 27.3% |
| 0.38 | DEF PPA | 0.10 |
| 35.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 51.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.8% |
| 0.87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| −2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| -0.03 | OFF PPA | 0.17 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Welcome StadiumLocationDayton, OH
Capacity11,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1949
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about San Diego or Dayton?
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