GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·DAY radioFlyer Radio Network / WHIO
STET radioHatters Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Dayton a 73% chance.
SeriesDayton leads 6–1 · Dayton won the last meeting, 48–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) DAY
Home-field edge STET
Model projection DAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Dayton @ Stetson
Your sims:Sims: STET 0, DAY 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Dayton vs Stetson Stats ComparisonDayton vs Stetson Stats Comparison
2026 stats| DaytonDAY | StetsonSTET | |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | PPG | 26 |
| 20 | PA/G | 40 |
| 437 | YDS/G | 382.5 |
| 186 | PASS/G | 237.5 |
| 251 | RUSH/G | 145 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1 |
| 27.3% | 3RD DOWN | 50.0% |
| 0.17 | OFF PPA | 0.12 |
| 0.10 | DEF PPA | 0.32 |
| 38.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.8% |
| 35.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.6% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36 |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Spec Martin Municipal StadiumLocationDeLand, FL
Capacity6,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1941
Elevation48 ft
FAN NEWS
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