Massachusetts @ Bowling Green, Week 13 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·MASS radioMinuteman Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Massachusetts a 9% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 5–0 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BGSU
Home-field edge BGSU
Model projection BGSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Massachusetts @ Bowling Green
Your sims:Sims: MASS 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Massachusetts
Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)
Lvs Bowling Green45–14Lat Ohio42–14Lvs Northern Illinois45–3Massachusetts2025: 0–12 (0–8 MAC)Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Massachusetts vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonMASS vs BGSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MassachusettsMASS | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1#136 | PPG | 20.5#117 |
| 38.6#136 | PA/G | 24.2#63 |
| 247.5#136 | YDS/G | 306.8#125 |
| 165.1#120 | PASS/G | 151.2#126 |
| 82.4#134 | RUSH/G | 155.5#71 |
| 3.9#136 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 30.7%#132 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#98 |
| 0.26#128 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 33.6%#134 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9%#127 |
| 48.0%#131 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 1.18#108 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#68 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -0.03#136 | OFF PPA | 0.03#129 |
| -56.7% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -32.9 | SP+ | -15.0 |
| -18.8#137 | FPI | -13.7#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doyt L. Perry StadiumLocationBowling Green, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation676 ft
FAN NEWS
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