Memphis @ South Florida, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·MemphisMEM1–0·AAC
MEM radioTiger Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Memphis a 46% chance.
SeriesMemphis leads 10–4 · Memphis won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge USF
Model projection USF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Memphis @ South Florida
Your sims:Sims: MEM 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Memphis
Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)
Wat UNLV27–21Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Memphis vs South Florida Stats ComparisonMemphis vs USF Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MemphisMEM | South FloridaUSF | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5#25 | PPG | 40.5#5 |
| 23.2#52 | PA/G | 23.4#53 |
| 411.5#36 | YDS/G | 487.8#3 |
| 228.4#65 | PASS/G | 275.6#18 |
| 183.2#32 | RUSH/G | 212.2#13 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 7#5 |
| 41.7%#45 | 3RD DOWN | 46.4%#20 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.24#24 | OFF PPA | 0.30#17 |
| 0.17#78 | DEF PPA | 0.08#30 |
| 44.9%#39 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.7%#22 |
| 40.9%#59 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.9%#27 |
| 5.6% | RET PROD | 12.6% |
| 1.31#33 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#38 |
| 0.3 | SP+ | -1.7 |
| -1.9#74 | FPI | -0.9#73 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Raymond James StadiumLocationTampa, FL
Capacity65,828
SurfaceGrass
Opened1998
Elevation36 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
