GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Stonehill a 90% chance.
SeriesStonehill leads 1–0 since 2025 · Stonehill won the last meeting, 22–15 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) STO
Home-field edge STO
Model projection STO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Mercyhurst @ Stonehill
Your sims:Sims: STO 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Mercyhurst
Lat Robert Morris28–14Lvs Central Connecticut43–40Lat Long Island University27–24
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelSTO 90%MarketSTO 66%
Market 24 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $1 traded · as of Oct 25, 1:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Mercyhurst vs Stonehill Stats ComparisonMercyhurst vs Stonehill Stats Comparison
| MercyhurstMERC | StonehillSTO | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.6 | PPG | 17 |
| 41.8 | PA/G | 21.9 |
| 302.4 | YDS/G | 300 |
| 226.2 | PASS/G | 196.6 |
| 76.1 | RUSH/G | 103.4 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5 |
| 38.0% | 3RD DOWN | 29.7% |
| 0.17 | DEF PPA | 0.02 |
| 33.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.6% |
| 45.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8% |
| 1.50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17 |
| −11 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -0.12 | OFF PPA | -0.04 |
| -52.1 | SRS | -34.5 |
THE VENUE
W.B. Mason StadiumLocationNorth Easton, MA
Capacity2,400
SurfaceTurf
Opened2005
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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