GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·MERC radioMercyhurst Athletics Radio
STO radioStonehill Skyhawks Radio
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mercyhurst a 51% chance.
SeriesStonehill leads 1–0 · Stonehill won the last meeting, 22–15 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MERC
Home-field edge STO
Model projection MERC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Mercyhurst @ Stonehill
Your sims:Sims: STO 0, MERC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Mercyhurst vs Stonehill Stats ComparisonMercyhurst vs Stonehill Stats Comparison
2026 stats| MercyhurstMERC | StonehillSTO | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | PPG | 13.5 |
| 47 | PA/G | 13.5 |
| 239 | YDS/G | 338.5 |
| 189.5 | PASS/G | 197 |
| 49.5 | RUSH/G | 141.5 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 36.4% | 3RD DOWN | 33.3% |
| 33.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.3% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
| -0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | -0.06 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
W.B. Mason StadiumLocationNorth Easton, MA
Capacity2,400
SurfaceTurf
Opened2005
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
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