GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·StreamingESPN+
CP radioMustang Radio Network
Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Cal Poly a 55% chance.
SeriesNorthern Arizona leads 8–1 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 35–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) NAU
Home-field edge CP
Model projection CP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Arizona @ Cal Poly
Your sims:Sims: CP 0, NAU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Arizona vs Cal Poly Stats ComparisonNAU vs Cal Poly Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northern ArizonaNAU | Cal PolyCP | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | PPG | 31 |
| 31 | PA/G | 25.5 |
| 279 | YDS/G | 450 |
| 182 | PASS/G | 261.5 |
| 97 | RUSH/G | 188.5 |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5 |
| 29.6% | 3RD DOWN | 51.9% |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | 0.26 |
| 33.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6% |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.8% |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19 |
| -0.01 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Alex G. Spanos StadiumLocationSan Luis Obispo, CA
Capacity11,075
SurfaceGrass
Opened2006
Elevation278 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Northern Arizona or Cal Poly?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
