Northern Illinois @ North Dakota State, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Dakota State a 88% chance.
SeriesNorth Dakota State leads 2–0 · North Dakota State won the last meeting, 28–0 · 1969
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NDSU win
88% One-score game
21%
88% One-score game
21%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge NDSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ North Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: NDSU 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota State vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonNDSU vs NIU Stats Comparison
| North Dakota StateNDSU | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | – |
| 7 | PA/G | – |
| 373 | YDS/G | – |
| 164 | PASS/G | – |
| 209 | RUSH/G | – |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 35.7% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | – |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | – |
| -0.32 | DEF PPA | – |
| 42.0% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 30.9% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| – | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
| -1.8 | SP+ | -17.2 |
| -8.3#100 | FPI | -14.5#125 |
THE VENUE
FargodomeLocationFargo, ND
Capacity18,700
SurfaceTurf
Opened1992
Elevation901 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
