Northern Illinois @ UNLV, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Illinois a 7% chance.
SeriesNorthern Illinois leads 5–0 · Northern Illinois won the last meeting, 38–30 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: NIU 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Illinois vs UNLV Stats ComparisonNIU vs UNLV Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Northern IllinoisNIU | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1#129 | PPG | 34.1#17 |
| 24.3#64 | PA/G | 28#89 |
| 284.4#133 | YDS/G | 446.8#21 |
| 98.8#134 | PASS/G | 250.9#42 |
| 185.6#29 | RUSH/G | 195.9#23 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 31.8%#129 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#28 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| 0.05#125 | OFF PPA | 0.30#17 |
| 0.19#89 | DEF PPA | 0.21#111 |
| 34.7%#131 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.6%#23 |
| 44.4%#109 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.1%#104 |
| 43.7% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#14 |
| -17.2 | SP+ | 3.6 |
| -14.5#125 | FPI | 1.8#58 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
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