Ohio @ Nebraska, Week 1 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·NebraskaNEB0–0·B1G
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Nebraska opens a 23.5-point favorite. Our model gives Nebraska a 95% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) NEB
Home-field edge NEB
Market lean NEB
Model projection NEB
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Ohio @ Nebraska
Your sims:Sims: NEB 0, OHIO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNEB 95%MarketNEB 94%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $23,357 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADNEB −23.5OHIO +23.5
TOTALOver 45.5Under 45.5
MONEYLINENEB −3200OHIO +1400
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Nebraska vs Ohio Stats ComparisonNebraska vs Ohio Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NebraskaNEB | OhioOHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7#59 | PPG | 27.8#66 |
| 24.6#67 | PA/G | 21.9#42 |
| 372.5#81 | YDS/G | 412.3#35 |
| 224.6#68 | PASS/G | 184.2#109 |
| 147.8#79 | RUSH/G | 228.2#9 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 45.7%#27 | 3RD DOWN | 42.4%#42 |
| 0.18#55 | OFF PPA | 0.21#39 |
| 0.19#93 | DEF PPA | 0.13#57 |
| 46.9%#19 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#39 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.2%#62 |
| 46.3% | RET PROD | 62.5% |
| 1.11#132 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#78 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
| 9.3 | SP+ | -11.8 |
| 8.8#30 | FPI | -8.0#97 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLincoln, NE
Capacity85,458
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation1,164 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
