Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa State, Week 1 · 2026

SEMO@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · ·
Southeast Missouri StateSEMO
StreamingESPN+

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Iowa State opens a 29.5-point favorite. Our model gives Iowa State a 97% chance.

SeriesIowa State leads 1–0 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 42–10 · 2022

WIN PROBABILITY
ISU 97% SEMO 3%
PROJECTED FINAL
Southeast Missouri State
13
ISU win
97%
One-score game
8%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge ISU
Market lean ISU
Model projection ISU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Southeast Missouri St @ Iowa St

Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, SEMO 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3
Southeast Missouri StateSoutheast Missouri State2025: 0–2
Lat North Dakota State41–14Lat Arkansas State42–24
SPREADSEMO +29.5ISU −29.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINESEMO +3500ISU −20000

DraftKings · updated Sep 2, 12:32 AM ETNot gambling advice

Southeast Missouri State vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonSEMO vs Iowa State Stats Comparison

2025 stats
Southeast Missouri StateSEMOIowa StateISU
PPG27.4#70
PA/G20.2#26
YDS/G395.6#60
3RD DOWN39.9%#69

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Jack Trice Stadium
LocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24VS#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win
@#1
CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
@#2
CFB VIBES MODELORE 93% to win
TNST@#3
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win
VS#4
CFB VIBES MODELND 90% to win
@#5
CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win
@#6
CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win
#7@
CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win