GAME DAY
Week 10 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southern Illinois a 54% chance.
SeriesSouthern Illinois leads 15–6 since 2003 · Southern Illinois won the last meeting, 55–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SIU
Home-field edge INST
Model projection SIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Illinois @ Indiana St
Your sims:Sims: INST 0, SIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southern Illinois
Wvs Northern Iowa20–17Lvs Illinois State35–14Lat South Dakota31–10
Indiana State
Lat Illinois State17–10Lvs Youngstown State57–24Lat South Dakota44–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Illinois vs Indiana State Stats ComparisonSIU vs INST Stats Comparison
| Southern IllinoisSIU | Indiana StateINST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.6 | PPG | 25.5 |
| 26.3 | PA/G | 34.8 |
| 346.6 | YDS/G | 380.9 |
| 203.2 | PASS/G | 265.8 |
| 143.3 | RUSH/G | 115.1 |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 37.2% | 3RD DOWN | 37.7% |
| 0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.22 |
| 38.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9% |
| 39.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 44.5% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.49 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −7 |
| -0.00 | OFF PPA | 0.06 |
| -19.3 | SRS | -25.0 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationTerre Haute, IN
Capacity12,764
SurfaceTurf
Opened1925
Elevation510 ft
FAN NEWS
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