Southern Miss @ UL Monroe, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UL Monroe a 41% chance.
SeriesSouthern Miss leads 7–3 · Southern Miss won the last meeting, 49–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USM
Home-field edge ULM
Model projection USM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
Your sims:Sims: ULM 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UL Monroe
UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)
Lat Louisiana30–27 (OT)Lat Texas State31–14Lvs South Alabama26–14UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)Southern Miss
Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Western Kentucky27–16Lvs Troy28–18Lat South Alabama42–35Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UL Monroe vs Southern Miss Stats ComparisonUL Monroe vs USM Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UL MonroeULM | Southern MissUSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6#130 | PPG | 28.8#58 |
| 31.9#119 | PA/G | 27.4#84 |
| 322.2#118 | YDS/G | 401.8#54 |
| 159.6#124 | PASS/G | 266#26 |
| 162.6#63 | RUSH/G | 135.8#93 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 32.7%#124 | 3RD DOWN | 39.7%#70 |
| 0.08#115 | OFF PPA | 0.16#71 |
| 0.19#90 | DEF PPA | 0.12#54 |
| 37.0%#121 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.5%#107 |
| 40.7%#57 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.5%#68 |
| 38.7% | RET PROD | 90.2% |
| 1.37#11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#25 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| -28.9 | SP+ | -20.7 |
| -19.3#138 | FPI | -5.1#87 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Malone StadiumLocationMonroe, LA
Capacity27,617
SurfaceTurf
Opened1978
Elevation75 ft
FAN NEWS
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