Stanford @ California, Week 12 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDStanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CaliforniaCAL0–0·ACC
CAL radioCal Sports Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives California a 71% chance.
SeriesStanford leads 54–45–6 · Stanford won the last meeting, 31–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CAL
Home-field edge CAL
Model projection CAL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stanford @ California
Your sims:Sims: CAL 0, STAN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
California vs Stanford Stats ComparisonCalifornia vs Stanford Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CaliforniaCAL | StanfordSTAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.3#86 | PPG | 18.8#122 |
| 27.2#82 | PA/G | 29.2#96 |
| 357.8#89 | YDS/G | 307.5#123 |
| 275.3#19 | PASS/G | 222#72 |
| 82.5#133 | RUSH/G | 85.5#132 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7#128 |
| 40.4%#61 | 3RD DOWN | 37.7%#90 |
| 0.13#93 | OFF PPA | 0.06#119 |
| 0.16#74 | DEF PPA | 0.18#85 |
| 40.7%#89 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.5%#123 |
| 42.0%#77 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 58.3% | RET PROD | 21.3% |
| 1.24#64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#83 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| 3.0 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| 0.9#62 | FPI | -3.3#80 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
California Memorial StadiumLocationBerkeley, CA
Capacity62,467
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation411 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
