GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Mercer a 74% chance.
SeriesMercer leads 7–4 · Mercer won the last meeting, 38–0 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MER
Home-field edge MER
Model projection MER
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
The Citadel @ Mercer
Your sims:Sims: MER 0, CIT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
The Citadel vs Mercer Stats ComparisonThe Citadel vs Mercer Stats Comparison
2026 stats| The CitadelCIT | MercerMER | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | PPG | 42.5 |
| 41.5 | PA/G | 9 |
| 375.5 | YDS/G | 476 |
| 128 | PASS/G | 224 |
| 247.5 | RUSH/G | 252 |
| 5.7 | YDS/PLAY | 8.1 |
| 48.1% | 3RD DOWN | 37.5% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +4 |
| 0.18 | OFF PPA | 0.50 |
| 48.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0% |
| 49.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.0% |
| 1.09 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.71 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | -0.06 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Five Star Stadium at the Moye ComplexLocationMacon, GA
Capacity10,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened2013
Elevation455 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about The Citadel or Mercer?
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