UCLA @ Michigan, Week 12 · 2026
@#16
GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDMichiganMICH0–0·B1G
MICH radioMichigan Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Michigan a 83% chance.
SeriesMichigan leads 8–3 · UCLA won the last meeting, 23–20 · 2000
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MICH
Home-field edge MICH
Model projection MICH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UCLA @ Michigan
Your sims:Sims: MICH 0, UCLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Michigan vs UCLA Stats ComparisonMichigan vs UCLA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MichiganMICH | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5#69 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 20.4#29 | PA/G | 33.4#127 |
| 397.9#58 | YDS/G | 319.8#120 |
| 186.8#107 | PASS/G | 180.2#115 |
| 211.2#14 | RUSH/G | 139.6#85 |
| 6.2#27 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 43.6%#32 | 3RD DOWN | 37.3%#92 |
| 0.20#47 | OFF PPA | 0.12#96 |
| 0.11#52 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
| 45.5%#32 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 41.8%#70 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.8%#135 |
| 69.2% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.14#129 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#112 |
| 17.0 | SP+ | 5.4 |
| 15.9#15 | FPI | 0.5#64 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Michigan StadiumLocationAnn Arbor, MI
Capacity107,601
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation838 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
