UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State, Week 12 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·StreamingESPN+
UTM radioSkyhawk Sports Network / WCMT
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UT Martin a 47% chance.
SeriesUT Martin leads 13–9 · UT Martin won the last meeting, 34–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
UTM win
47% One-score game
38%
47% One-score game
38%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UTM
Home-field edge SEMO
Model projection SEMO
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri St
Your sims:Sims: UTM 0, SEMO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UT Martin vs Southeast Missouri State Stats ComparisonUT Martin vs SEMO Stats Comparison
2026 stats| UT MartinUTM | Southeast Missouri StateSEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 16.5 |
| 21.5 | PA/G | 29.5 |
| 391.5 | YDS/G | 268 |
| 204 | PASS/G | 208 |
| 187.5 | RUSH/G | 60 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 4 |
| 40.0% | 3RD DOWN | 38.7% |
| 0.31 | OFF PPA | 0.07 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 46.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.1% |
| 34.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2% |
| 1.22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.52 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Houck FieldLocationCape Girardeau, MO
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation400 ft
FAN NEWS
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