Utah State @ San Diego State, Week 11 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·TVUSA Net
USU radioAggie Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah State a 22% chance.
SeriesSan Diego State leads 13–5 · Utah State won the last meeting, 41–20 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SDSU
Home-field edge SDSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Utah State @ San Diego State
Your sims:Sims: USU 0, SDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Utah State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonUtah State vs SDSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Utah StateUSU | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 28.7#90 | PA/G | 15.4#6 |
| 409.8#40 | YDS/G | 356#91 |
| 246.9#48 | PASS/G | 157.9#125 |
| 162.9#62 | RUSH/G | 198.9#19 |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 31.4%#130 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.20#41 | OFF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 41.1%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 42.7%#90 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#9 |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.35#17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| 0.20#101 | DEF PPA | -0.02#3 |
| -7.9 | SP+ | 0.7 |
| -6.7#92 | FPI | 1.4#59 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Snapdragon StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity35,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2022
Elevation203 ft
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