GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·VAL radioBeacon Radio / WVUR
DAY radioFlyer Radio Network / WHIO
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Dayton an 82% chance.
SeriesDayton leads 17–3 since 2005 · Dayton won the last meeting, 41–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) DAY
Home-field edge DAY
Model projection DAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Valparaiso @ Dayton
Your sims:Sims: DAY 0, VAL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Valparaiso vs Dayton Stats ComparisonValparaiso vs Dayton Stats Comparison
| ValparaisoVAL | DaytonDAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | PPG | 32 |
| 21.6 | PA/G | 20 |
| 264.8 | YDS/G | 371.1 |
| 186.2 | PASS/G | 222 |
| 78.5 | RUSH/G | 149.1 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 34.3% | 3RD DOWN | 42.3% |
| +5 | TO MARGIN | +5 |
| 0.01 | OFF PPA | 0.10 |
| 37.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.6% |
| 40.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 39.2% |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28 |
| -0.02 | DEF PPA | 0.04 |
| -47.6 | SRS | -36.6 |
THE VENUE
Welcome StadiumLocationDayton, OH
Capacity11,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1949
Elevation730 ft
FAN NEWS
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