Virginia Tech @ SMU, Week 10 · 2026
@#19
GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives SMU a 67% chance.
SeriesSMU leads 2–1 · SMU won the last meeting, 28–25 · 1974
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SMU
Home-field edge SMU
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Virginia Tech @ SMU
Your sims:Sims: SMU 0, VT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
SMU vs Virginia Tech Stats ComparisonSMU vs VT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| SMUSMU | Virginia TechVT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2#26 | PPG | 21.4#113 |
| 20.5#30 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 417#30 | YDS/G | 349.5#97 |
| 283.1#14 | PASS/G | 166.3#119 |
| 133.9#95 | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 40.8%#56 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| 0.25#22 | OFF PPA | 0.17#64 |
| 0.03#11 | DEF PPA | 0.27#131 |
| 43.3%#54 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#76 |
| 39.6%#47 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.7%#113 |
| 56.9% | RET PROD | 36.7% |
| 1.37#10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#63 |
| 12.1 | SP+ | 8.6 |
| 11.1#24 | FPI | 7.4#33 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −9#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Gerald J. Ford StadiumLocationUniversity Park, TX
Capacity32,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2000
Elevation556 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about SMU?
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
