Weber State @ Montana State, Week 8 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·StreamingESPN+
MTST radioBobcat Radio Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Montana State a 89% chance.
SeriesMontana State leads 14–4 · Montana State won the last meeting, 66–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MTST
Home-field edge MTST
Model projection MTST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Weber State @ Montana State
Your sims:Sims: MTST 0, WEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Montana State vs Weber State Stats ComparisonMTST vs Weber State Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Montana StateMTST | Weber StateWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 52.5 | PPG | 36 |
| 12 | PA/G | 38 |
| 472.5 | YDS/G | 417 |
| 319.5 | PASS/G | 257.5 |
| 153 | RUSH/G | 159.5 |
| 7.4 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3 |
| 65.0% | 3RD DOWN | 48.3% |
| 0.43 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 58.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 42.3% |
| 33.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 47.1% |
| 1.14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.38 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -0.11 | DEF PPA | 0.28 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bobcat StadiumLocationBozeman, MT
Capacity17,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation4,946 ft
FAN NEWS
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