Consensus spread, total and line movement for three priced Houston games, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #5 in the Big 12 championship market at 5% and #29 in the national market at 1%.
BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas Tech | 53% | |
| 2 |  BYU | 13% | |
| 3 |  Utah | 12% | |
| 4 |  Arizona | 5% | |
| 5 |  Houston | 5% | |
| 6 |  Kansas State | 5% | |
| 7 |  Oklahoma State | 5% | |
| 8 |  Arizona State | 3% | |
| 9 |  TCU | 3% | |
| 10 |  Colorado | 2% | |
| 11 |  UCF | 2% | |
| 12 |  West Virginia | 2% | |
| 13 |  Baylor | 1% | |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 1% | |
| 15 |  Iowa State | 1% | |
| 16 |  Kansas | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 8+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 9 (23%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
HOUSTON 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 9–3
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oregon State@Houston | 10%90% | +20.5−20.5 | 2 ▲ | 49.5 | |
| Southern@Houston | 2%98% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Houston@Texas Tech | 19%81% | +13.5−13.5 | – | – | |
Houston@ Georgia Southern | TBD | 81%19% | TBD | – | TBD |
| UCF@Houston | TBD | 27%73% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Houston@Kansas State | TBD | 35%65% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Oklahoma State@Houston | TBD | 39%61% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Houston@Utah | TBD | 33%67% | +6.5−6.5 | – | 50.5 |
| Cincinnati@Houston | TBD | 30%70% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Houston@Colorado | 57%43% | TBD | – | TBD | |
| Houston@West Virginia | TBD | 62%38% | TBD | – | TBD |
| Baylor@Houston | TBD | 31%69% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for Houston. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →
