Bowling Green @ Western Michigan, Week 9 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Bowling Green a 22% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 29–19–2 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 31–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge WMU
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Your sims:Sims: BGSU 0, WMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Stats ComparisonBGSU vs WMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Bowling GreenBGSU | Western MichiganWMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5#117 | PPG | 24.9#88 |
| 24.2#63 | PA/G | 17.4#9 |
| 306.8#125 | YDS/G | 343#103 |
| 151.2#126 | PASS/G | 138.5#130 |
| 155.5#71 | RUSH/G | 204.5#16 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 36.7%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 40.3%#62 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
| 0.03#129 | OFF PPA | 0.10#106 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.05#17 |
| 35.9%#127 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.3%#69 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.5%#23 |
| 1.24#68 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.05#136 |
| -6.2% | RET PROD | 99.7% |
| -15.0 | SP+ | -6.0 |
| -13.7#123 | FPI | -4.0#82 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Waldo StadiumLocationKalamazoo, MI
Capacity30,200
SurfaceTurf
Opened1939
Elevation800 ft
FAN NEWS
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